Adrian Newey says cost cap penalty will “for sure” affect Red Bull

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Red Bull’s Chief Technical Officer Adrian Newey discusses how much the cost cap breach penalty will affect the team, and says Mercedes “will be right there” in 2023.

In 2022 it was revealed that Red Bull had breached the 2021 budget cap by $1.8m, and for this the team received a $7m fine and a 10% reduction in aero testing time.

While many rival teams expressed their dissatisfaction by what they perceive to be a light penalty, Red Bull’s CTO Adrian Newey says it will “for sure” affect the team’s performance in 2023.

“The reduction of internal testing means we can evaluate less: less different components, less different ideas,” the Briton explained in Red Bull’s newly released video.

“If we’re really smart and always put the right things on the model, then it doesn’t make much difference. But that’s not how it works.

“There are always some parts that you hope will work and don’t and vice versa. So it’s difficult. It’s a restriction for sure that will affect us.”

Asked how much it will cost the team in terms of time lost to their rivals, Newey said:

“There’s no testing so it’s very difficult to put an answer, ‘it will cost us so many tenths of a second per lap’.”

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He added that the team’s main concern was a regulation that requires the floor edge of the car to be raised by 50mm.

“Of course, sounds tiny, but in reality it’s quite a significant aerodynamic change. Like all teams, we’re working to reduce the deficit from that in addition to the normal development that goes on from year to year.”

In the end, Newey said he expects Red Bull’s main rivals Ferrari and Mercedes to put up a strong challenge next year.

“I think we’ve obviously had a good year, particularly in the second half of the season. We do have the best car.

“But Ferrari won’t be resting, and they will be kind of sorting out the weak areas where they had a couple of reliability problems, and they made a couple of pit wall mistakes. So they will be right back.

“And then of course you obviously saw Mercedes starting with a car that was quite a long way off the pace, and evolving it to the point they won the last race but one.

“So we know they will be right there,” Red Bull’s CTO concluded.

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